Facebook’s
growth continues as it hit 1.55 billion users and beat the street’s estimates
in its Q3 2015 earnings with $4.5 billion in revenue and $0.57
earnings per share, up a big 11.3% from $4.04 billion last quarter.
Facebook’s
monthly user count was up sharply to 4.02% quarter over quarter from Q2’s 3.47% growth. That shows that while it might have
hit sign-up saturation in its core markets, it’s still adding plenty of users
in the developing world.
Analysts
estimated Facebook would see $4.37 billion in revenue and $0.52 EPS.
While
Facebook’s total user count gets lots of attention, daily active user is a much
more accurate reflection of its health. Facebook’s DAU hit 1.01 billion
following a record 1 billion user day in late August, up from 968 million in
Q2. That makes its DAU divided by MAU stickiness stat, or the percentage of monthly users that come
back daily, a beefy 65.1%. That means despite never-ending
claims that Facebook isn’t cool any more, most active users check it every
single day.
Facebook now
has 1.39 billion mobile monthly users (up from 1.31 billion in Q2) and 894
million mobile dailies (up from 844 million). Mobile now makes up a whopping
78% of Facebook’s advertising revenue, up from 76% in Q2. There are now 727
million mobile-only Facebook users.
Surprisingly,
Facebook added 4 million users in its
money-making core market of the US and Canada. That’s more in a
quarter than any time in the last 2 years. That means Facebook is still
converting holdouts, newly of-age teens, and seniors.
Facebook’s
GAAP net income for the last three months, its
real profit, was $896 million, compared to $719 million last quarter.
That’s impressive considering the drag of Facebook’s big investments in artificial intelligence research in
preparation for a wider launch of its Messenger
personal assistant M. Facebook’s shares immediately shot up about
2.3% in after-hours trading following the earnings announcement.
Facebook’s
ability to continue growing while keeping costs in check so profits can rise
should boost confidence in a company determined to build futuristic
technologies like AI and virtual reality.
Perhaps the
only dark spot on its earnings was the continued decline of payment revenue as
Facebook’s web game platform dies off as users shift to mobile. But at $202
million, down from $215 million in Q2, payments make up less than 5% of
Facebook’s revenue, so it’s not that big of a deal.
[Update: During the earnings
call, the big announcement was that Facebook now
sees an average of 8 billion daily video views from 500 million
users, up from 4 billion views in April. Mark Zuckerberg also noted that
Facebook Groups now have 900 million monthly users, and he sees that as a
growing opportunity between wider sharing on Facebook and Instagram, and
private sharing on Messenger and WhatsApp.]
As a whole,
the quarter was more about Facebook investing in long-term product development
and spinning up new revenue sources than seeing them come to fruition. It’s
doing heavy testing around becoming a destination
for both shopping and video
viewership that primes the social network to run lucrative video
ads.
Facebook
also pushed on its hosted content initiatives, fully launching its Instant
Articles program for making publishers’ news articles load faster inside
Facebook’s app. One new ad format to watch out for is “Canvas”. I like to
call them “Instant Ads”
since they load rich-media marketing experiences quickly inside Facebook’s app
when users click an ad. Since the format doesn’t interrupt the user experience
by sending them to a browser, it could drive more clicks than normal ads and
become a big cash cow for Facebook.
Facebook’s
strategy involves trying to pull as much of the Internet experience inside its
main app, while locking in users with Messenger. This ensures they spend as
much time as possible where it shows ads in the News Feed. Meanwhile, it’s
serving younger and international user bases with Instagram and WhatsApp
respectively. This allows it to build up new userbases with different tastes
without screwing up its core experience.
Now over 11
years old, Facebook seems to be weathering the tests of time quite well.
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